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Event Card


The likelihood of regime collapse in Iran is higher than ever, but it remains unlikely as the government retains control and is able to replace killed leaders.

The likelihood of regime collapse in Iran is higher than ever, but it remains unlikely as the government retains control and is able to replace killed leaders.

@ostorozhno_novosti 02 Mar 2026, 06:39

The United States expresses skepticism about the likelihood of a regime change in Iran in the near future or that a Washington-backed Iranian opposition figure could lead the country.

@varlamov_news 02 Mar 2026, 04:26

US officials express doubts about the possibility of a regime change in Iran following the death of Ayatollah Khamenei, citing the low likelihood of the current regime being overthrown and the absence of desertions among IRGC officers during protests.

@ostorozhno_novosti 02 Mar 2026, 03:54